Sao Tome ve Principe 2-3 Ekvator Ginesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.95
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
69%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.6
No
52%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
33%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.4pp
15%
Draw
20%
-5.0pp
69%
Away Win
71%
-1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
34%
+13.8pp
52%
BTTS No
66%
-13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Tome ve Principe EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi EU Bookmakers 75%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.00/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -56%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Tome ve Principe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2025 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi 2-0 HT 2-0 Sao Tome ve Principe Sao Tome ve Principe DKE
POST-MATCH Sao Tome ve Principe vs Ekvator Ginesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvator Ginesi edged past Sao Tome ve Principe 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ekvator Ginesi as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Sao Tome ve Principe vs Ekvator Ginesi?

Sao Tome ve Principe 2-3 Ekvator Ginesi in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Tome ve Principe vs Ekvator Ginesi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ekvator Ginesi win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Sao Tome ve Principe 16%, draw 15%, Ekvator Ginesi 69%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvator Ginesi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ekvator Ginesi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
4 Sep 2025
00:00 Sao Tome Ve Principe vs Ekvator Ginesi Analysis →
16:00 Çad vs Gana Analysis →
17:00 Kazakistan vs Galler Analysis →
19:00 Mauritius vs Yeşil Burun Adaları Analysis →
19:00 Angola vs Libya Analysis →
19:00 Madagaskar vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Analysis →