Sao Tome Ve Principe 2-3 Ekvator Ginesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 4 Sep 2025

Sao Tome Ve Principe
2-3 HT 2-0
Ekvator Ginesi
📅04/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Sao Tome Ve Principe vs Ekvator Ginesi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.95
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
70%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.6
No
53%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
34%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+5.7pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.8pp
70%
Away Win
71%
-0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
34%
+12.4pp
53%
BTTS No
66%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sao Tome Ve Principe v Ekvator Ginesi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Tome Ve Principe EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi EU Bookmakers 75%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.00/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -56%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Sao Tome Ve Principe vs Ekvator Ginesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvator Ginesi nicked a narrow win over Sao Tome Ve Principe 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ekvator Ginesi as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Sao Tome Ve Principe vs Ekvator Ginesi?

Sao Tome Ve Principe 2-3 Ekvator Ginesi in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Tome Ve Principe vs Ekvator Ginesi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ekvator Ginesi win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Sao Tome Ve Principe 15%, draw 15%, Ekvator Ginesi 70%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvator Ginesi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ekvator Ginesi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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