Cezayir 3-1 Botsvana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.27
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.67
No
55%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
31%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
75%
-1.2pp
14%
Draw
18%
-3.3pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
33%
+11.7pp
55%
BTTS No
67%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cezayir EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Botsvana EU Bookmakers 9%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
3.69/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.68
+53% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
425 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 70%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cezayir
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Botsvana
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
3 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2025 Botsvana Botsvana 1-3 HT 0-1 Cezayir Cezayir DKE
29.03.2021 Cezayir Cezayir 5-0 HT 1-0 Botsvana Botsvana AFUK
18.11.2019 Botsvana Botsvana 0-1 HT 0-1 Cezayir Cezayir AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cezayir
3-1
AWAY Botsvana
2.39 xG 1.02
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
566 Passes 250
92% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cezayir vs Botsvana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cezayir got the better of Botsvana 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cezayir had 66% of the ball to Botsvana's 34%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.39 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cezayir had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Cezayir and 0.33 for Botsvana.

What was the final score of Cezayir vs Botsvana?

Cezayir 3-1 Botsvana in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cezayir vs Botsvana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Cezayir 74%, draw 14%, Botsvana 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cezayir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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