Litvanya 1-1 Malta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 4 Sep 2025

Litvanya
1-1 HT 0-0
Malta
📅04/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Litvanya vs Malta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.48
Over 2.5
49%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.6
No
59%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
59%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
64%
-12.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
36%
+12.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.5pp
59%
BTTS No
66%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Litvanya v Malta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Litvanya EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Malta EU Bookmakers 18%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.21
+16% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
– Crosses 12.7
– Yellow Cards 2.6

Litvanya vs Malta Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Litvanya
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Malta
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.71 xG 0.15
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
418 Passes 279
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.06.2025 Malta Malta 0-0 HT 0-0 Litvanya Litvanya DKE
05.10.2017 Malta Malta 1-1 HT 1-0 Litvanya Litvanya DKE
11.10.2016 Litvanya Litvanya 2-0 HT 0-0 Malta Malta DKE
08.06.2015 Malta Malta 2-0 HT 0-0 Litvanya Litvanya HAZ
15.11.2006 Malta Malta 1-4 HT 0-1 Litvanya Litvanya HAZ

Litvanya 1-1 Malta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Litvanya
1-1
AWAY Malta
1.68 xG 1.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
225 Passes 191
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Litvanya vs Malta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Litvanya and Malta shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Litvanya carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Litvanya had 55% of the ball to Malta's 45%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.68 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Litvanya had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Litvanya and 0.80 for Malta.

What was the final score of Litvanya vs Malta?

Litvanya 1-1 Malta in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Litvanya vs Malta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Litvanya win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Litvanya 63%, draw 22%, Malta 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Litvanya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Litvanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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