Municipal 3-1 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.82/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.19
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Mixco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.05.2025 Municipal Municipal 4-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.05.2025 Mixco Mixco 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
13.04.2025 Mixco Mixco 1-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
09.02.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
20.10.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
04.08.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal saw off Mixco 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Municipal and 0.33 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Mixco?

Municipal 3-1 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Municipal 51%, draw 31%, Mixco 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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