Municipal 4-0 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.8pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.88/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.54
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Mixco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.05.2025 Mixco Mixco 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
13.04.2025 Mixco Mixco 1-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
09.02.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
20.10.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
04.08.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.05.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
4-0
AWAY Mixco
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal cruised past Mixco 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Municipal had 63% of the ball to Mixco's 37%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Municipal and 0.33 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Mixco?

Municipal 4-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Municipal 55%, draw 23%, Mixco 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
5 May 2025
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