Mixco 1-1 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
25%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
34%
+13.1pp
28%
Draw
33%
-4.6pp
25%
Away Win
33%
-8.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
0.89/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.09
-26% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Municipal
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
09.02.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
20.10.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
04.08.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.05.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
12.05.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
03.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 3-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco and Municipal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mixco at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mixco and 1.17 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Municipal?

Mixco 1-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mixco 47%, draw 28%, Municipal 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mixco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mixco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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