Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.54
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.11
6+
12%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic The Market 36%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.66/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.28
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
318 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Dover Athletic
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.01.2024 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
15.08.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-0 HT 1-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
24.01.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 4-0 HT 2-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
16.08.2022 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
10.04.2014 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-2 HT 0-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
2-1
AWAY Dover Athletic
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Dover Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels squeezed past Dover Athletic 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tonbridge Angels found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 50% of the ball to Dover Athletic's 50%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tonbridge Angels had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 0.80 for Dover Athletic.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Dover Athletic?

Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Dover Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 38%, draw 26%, Dover Athletic 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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