Hull City 1-0 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 26% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.65
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
22%
5.54
X/2
9%
5.85
X/X
10%
4.57
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
14%
3.98
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
38%
+9.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +35%
1.17/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.13
-19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.7 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sheffield United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
325 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2025 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-3 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
13.09.2024 Hull City Hull City 0-2 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
20.01.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
04.09.2022 Hull City Hull City 0-2 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
15.02.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
18.09.2021 Hull City Hull City 1-3 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
1-0
AWAY Sheffield United
0.43 xG 2.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
221 Passes 399
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City nicked a narrow win over Sheffield United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hull City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hull City had 38% of the ball to Sheffield United's 62%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.43 to 2.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sheffield United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hull City and 1.33 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Sheffield United?

Hull City 1-0 Sheffield United in the England - Championship on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hull City 48%, draw 24%, Sheffield United 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Under 2.5
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