Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Oct 2025

Blackburn Rovers
1-1 HT 0-0
Stoke City
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.57
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
17%
5.2
X/2
14%
5.95
X/X
13%
4.16
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.39
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackburn Rovers v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.41/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.39
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.6 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Stoke City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2025 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
06.11.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
10.02.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1 HT 3-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
25.11.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
10.03.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 3-2 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
27.08.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL

Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1-1
AWAY Stoke City
1.88 xG 0.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
294 Passes 283
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 48% of the ball to Stoke City's 52%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.88 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.33 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?

Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 38%, draw 28%, Stoke City 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Blackburn Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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