Swansea City 1-3 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Oct 2025

Swansea City
1-3 HT 0-1
Leicester City
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Swansea City vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.62
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
16%
5.16
X/2
9%
5.72
X/X
11%
4.28
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
12%
4.25
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.37/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.25
-4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.9 Crosses 9.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Swansea City vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leicester City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.80 xG 2.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 420
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.01.2024 Leicester City Leicester City 3-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
21.10.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 1-3 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
03.02.2018 Leicester City Leicester City 1-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNP
21.10.2017 Swansea City Swansea City 1-2 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
12.02.2017 Swansea City Swansea City 2-0 HT 2-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
27.08.2016 Leicester City Leicester City 2-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNP

Swansea City 1-3 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
1-3
AWAY Leicester City
1.84 xG 1.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
433 Passes 344
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City got the better of Swansea City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Swansea City had 55% of the ball to Leicester City's 45%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.84 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Swansea City and 1.83 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Leicester City?

Swansea City 1-3 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 44%, draw 25%, Leicester City 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swansea City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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