Millwall 3-0 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
5.05
6+ Goals
10%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.36
1/2
12%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
10%
5.59
X/2
10%
5.16
X/X
12%
3.8
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
21%
3.86
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.24/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.29
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.7 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
1W-5D-0L
AWAY West Bromwich
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.02 xG 1.02
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
204 Passes 399
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
05.10.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
29.03.2024 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
23.09.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
01.04.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
22.10.2022 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
3-0
AWAY West Bromwich
0.77 xG 0.42
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
217 Passes 401
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millwall vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall cruised past West Bromwich 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was West Bromwich at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Millwall had 39% of the ball to West Bromwich's 61%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Millwall and 0.50 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Millwall vs West Bromwich?

Millwall 3-0 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Millwall 31%, draw 26%, West Bromwich 43%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✗ Under 2.5
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