Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portsmouth v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Portsmouth
İNCL
1-3
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-0
Portsmouth
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
2-2
HT 2-0
Portsmouth
İNCL
Portsmouth 1-0 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Portsmouth edged past Middlesbrough 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Portsmouth made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Portsmouth had 38% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 62%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.57 to 1.00 — the balance of chances actually favoured Middlesbrough.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portsmouth and 1.67 for Middlesbrough.
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough?
Portsmouth 1-0 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough?
Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 33%, draw 26%, Middlesbrough 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Middlesbrough), BTTS Yes went the other way.