West Bromwich 0-0 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.55
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.64
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 37% vs market 33.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
13%
3.9
X/2
9%
8.03
X/X
16%
4.22
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
10%
6.85
2/X
6%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.0pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.62/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.26
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.2 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Millwall
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 181
71% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
23.09.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
01.04.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
22.10.2022 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
29.01.2022 Millwall Millwall 2-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
11.09.2021 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
0-0
AWAY Millwall
0.73 xG 0.55
80% Ball Possession 20%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
611 Passes 102
89% Pass Accuracy 59%
23 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich and Millwall played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was West Bromwich at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, West Bromwich had 80% of the ball to Millwall's 20%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.73 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for West Bromwich and 1.00 for Millwall.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Millwall?

West Bromwich 0-0 Millwall in the England - Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 48%, draw 29%, Millwall 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (West Bromwich) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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