St Ives Town 1-0 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.84
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
31%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.18
Over 2.5
68%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.6
No
29%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
31%
+20.9pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.2pp
31%
Away Win
47%
-15.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
42%
-10.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
58%
+10.1pp
71%
BTTS Yes
58%
+12.6pp
29%
BTTS No
42%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
240 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Ives Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kettering Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-3 HT 0-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
28.09.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 0-3 Kettering Town Kettering Town FAK
09.09.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
26.12.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 6-0 HT 2-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
07.10.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 3-2 Kettering Town Kettering Town FAK
28.08.2023 Kettering Town Kettering Town 1-1 HT 0-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town squeezed past Kettering Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St Ives Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (71%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Ives Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for St Ives Town and 1.67 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs Kettering Town?

St Ives Town 1-0 Kettering Town in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 52%, draw 17%, Kettering Town 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Ives Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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