St Ives Town 0-3 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/2.58
+92% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Ives Town
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Kettering Town
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
26.12.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 6-0 HT 2-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
07.10.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 3-2 Kettering Town Kettering Town FAK
28.08.2023 Kettering Town Kettering Town 1-1 HT 0-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town ran out comfortable winners over St Ives Town 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Kettering Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, St Ives Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for St Ives Town and 1.25 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs Kettering Town?

St Ives Town 0-3 Kettering Town in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 40%, draw 24%, Kettering Town 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (St Ives Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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