Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bellinzona v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Etoile Carouge
İSV1Y
2-4
HT 1-3
Bellinzona
İSV1Y
Bellinzona 0-3 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Etoile Carouge ran out comfortable winners over Bellinzona 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Bellinzona at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Bellinzona had 50% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 50%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.05 to 1.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bellinzona and 2.17 for Etoile Carouge.
What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge?
Bellinzona 0-3 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 42%, draw 30%, Etoile Carouge 28%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.