Luzern 3-3 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 4 Oct 2025

Luzern
3-3 HT 2-0
Sion
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.37
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
10%
5.36
X/2
16%
6.22
X/X
7%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
13%
4.24
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.61/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.47
-6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.1 Crosses 20.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.11
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
10.11.2024 Sion Sion 4-2 HT 2-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
03.08.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
22.03.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 1-0 Sion Sion HAZ
25.05.2023 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
02.04.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
3-3
AWAY Sion
1.48 xG 2.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
289 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Luzern vs Sion
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Luzern and Sion shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the Switzerland - Super League on 4 Oct 2025. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Luzern had 46% of the ball to Sion's 54%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.48 to 2.24.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luzern and 1.50 for Sion.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Sion?

Luzern 3-3 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Luzern 42%, draw 23%, Sion 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luzern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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