Bochum II 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 46%
-33% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
0.99/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.24
-27% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
12.09.2014 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Bochum II Bochum II ALMBÖL
07.12.2013 Bochum II Bochum II 2-1 HT 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bochum II vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte nicked a narrow win over Bochum II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sportfreunde Lotte as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bochum II and 1.00 for Sportfreunde Lotte.

What was the final score of Bochum II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Bochum II 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bochum II 32%, draw 25%, Sportfreunde Lotte 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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