Almagro 0-1 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Oct 2025

Almagro
0-1 HT 0-0
Club Atletico Guemes
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.61
Draw
18%
3.35
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.9pp
18%
Draw
27%
-8.7pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.9pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almagro v Club Atletico Guemes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 17%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.29/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.20
-11% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
The Meetings
31.05.2025 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
16.10.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
03.06.2023 Almagro Almagro 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
20.06.2022 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-2 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
01.11.2021 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
04.07.2021 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-2 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes edged past Almagro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Almagro carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almagro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almagro and 0.67 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Almagro 0-1 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Almagro 59%, draw 18%, Club Atletico Guemes 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Almagro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almagro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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