Arsenal Sarandi 5-0 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.6pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.92/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.96
-10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Alvarado
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
01.06.2025 Alvarado Alvarado 0-2 HT 0-2 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
27.10.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
09.06.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi swept aside Alvarado 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Arsenal Sarandi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal Sarandi had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arsenal Sarandi and 0.67 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Alvarado?

Arsenal Sarandi 5-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 34%, draw 34%, Alvarado 32%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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