San Miguel 2-2 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.5pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 27%
+18% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / -5%
1.41/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.75
+19% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
2W-0D-1L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Corners 3
01.06.2025 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-1 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
14.07.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
26.02.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 1-0 HT 1-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel and San Martin Tucuman shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Miguel had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for San Miguel and 0.33 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs San Martin Tucuman?

San Miguel 2-2 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 38%, draw 33%, San Martin Tucuman 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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