Quilmes 0-1 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.13
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
31%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
28%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+11.4pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.8pp
30%
Away Win
49%
-18.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.5pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 53%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+74% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
31.05.2025 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
02.09.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 0-1 HT 0-1 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
14.04.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-3 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
30.09.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 5-1 HT 2-1 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
21.05.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
28.03.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-2 HT 1-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez squeezed past Quilmes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 37% / 30% — and on the day Tristan Suarez made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quilmes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Quilmes and 0.83 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez?

Quilmes 0-1 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 32%, draw 37%, Tristan Suarez 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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