Quilmes 0-1 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.17/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.56
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
14.04.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-3 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
30.09.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 5-1 HT 2-1 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
21.05.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
28.03.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-2 HT 1-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez squeezed past Quilmes 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tristan Suarez found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Quilmes had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Quilmes and 1.00 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez?

Quilmes 0-1 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 34%, draw 30%, Tristan Suarez 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tristan Suarez), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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