Colon 1-0 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.95
No
70%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.9pp
30%
BTTS Yes
30%
-0.0pp
70%
BTTS No
70%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colon EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.68/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.75
+22% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +82%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colon
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 6
14.04.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-2 HT 0-2 Colon Colon ARJPBN
22.07.2018 Colon Colon 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJK
POST-MATCH Colon vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colon nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Moron 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colon as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Colon had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colon and 0.50 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Colon vs Deportivo Moron?

Colon 1-0 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colon vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Colon 57%, draw 26%, Deportivo Moron 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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