02/09/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
San Telmo vs Arsenal Sarandi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
37%
Draw
31%
22%
Away Win
26%
70%
Under 2.5
69%
30%
Over 2.5
31%
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
63%
BTTS No
62%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Telmo v Arsenal Sarandi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
San Telmo
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Arsenal Sarandi
EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% /
-15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-19% /
-19%
1.00/0.87
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.22/0.88
-19%
/
-6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-74%
/
+27%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
265 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
289 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
–
San Telmo vs Arsenal Sarandi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
San Telmo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Arsenal Sarandi
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
San Telmo vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
San Telmo swept aside Arsenal Sarandi 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (41% / 37% / 22%) promised a tight game; San Telmo found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.
What was the final score of San Telmo vs Arsenal Sarandi?
San Telmo 4-0 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Arsenal Sarandi?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 41%, draw 37%, Arsenal Sarandi 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Telmo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (San Telmo)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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