Defensores Unidos 1-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒21:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.5pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.4pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -28%
1.10/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.46
-3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
387 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores Unidos
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Almagro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
13.04.2024 Almagro Almagro 1-1 HT 0-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
02.09.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
23.04.2023 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 1-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores Unidos vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores Unidos and Almagro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Defensores Unidos and 0.67 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Defensores Unidos vs Almagro?

Defensores Unidos 1-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores Unidos vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Defensores Unidos 34%, draw 34%, Almagro 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/31) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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