Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.0
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
38%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
46%
-14.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
23%
+15.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.4pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.12/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.91
-9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
16.10.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-2 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
04.06.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
30.08.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
25.09.2021 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-1 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
19.05.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-2 HT 0-2 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto nicked a narrow win over Nueva Chicago 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes Rio Cuarto found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and 1.00 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Nueva Chicago?

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 31%, draw 31%, Nueva Chicago 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nueva Chicago) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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