Ferro Carril Oeste 3-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.2pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.63/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.04
-38% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
311 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Patronato
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
01.06.2025 Patronato Patronato 3-0 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
25.08.2024 Patronato Patronato 1-3 HT 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
07.04.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
07.09.2015 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.04.2015 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste saw off Patronato 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ferro Carril Oeste found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Patronato led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 1.20 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Patronato?

Ferro Carril Oeste 3-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 37%, draw 32%, Patronato 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
4 Oct 2025
21:30 Racing Cordoba vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis →
21:30 Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez Analysis →
21:30 Arsenal Sarandi vs Alvarado Analysis →
21:30 Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes Analysis →
21:30 Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Maipu Analysis →
21:30 San Miguel vs San Martin Tucuman Analysis →