Slaven Belupo 2-1 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.03
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.52
6+
5%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Slaven Belupo The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek The Market 45%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
1.29 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Bad
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osijek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.97
57% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
356 Passes 270
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-4 HT 0-3 Osijek Osijek HIR
02.04.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIRK
01.03.2025 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
30.11.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 3-2 HT 1-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
15.09.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
29.03.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
2 - 1
AWAY Osijek
0.61 xG 0.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
226 Passes 359
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Slaven Belupo vs Osijek
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Slaven Belupo nicked a narrow win over Osijek 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Slaven Belupo made the difference.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 41% of the ball to Osijek's 59%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.61 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.50 for Osijek.

Slaven Belupo vs Osijek Result & Final Score

Slaven Belupo 2 - 1 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Slaven Belupo vs Osijek Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 31%, draw 29%, Osijek 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Osijek), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
4 Oct 2025
16:45 Vukovar vs Hajduk Split Analysis →