ADT vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADT v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
ADT vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
ADT
PER
4-2
HT 1-0
ADT
PER
ADT 3-2 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
ADT edged past Sporting Cristal 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day ADT made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, ADT had 43% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 57%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.85 to 1.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADT's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ADT and 2.33 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
ADT 3-2 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ADT 35%, draw 28%, Sporting Cristal 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.