Cultural San 2-1 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
47%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
19%
Draw
27%
-7.2pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
0.98/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.41
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.9 Crosses 20.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Cusco FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 2.23
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
204 Passes 428
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Cusco FC Cusco FC 3-3 HT 2-2 Cultural San Cultural San PER
17.10.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 Cultural San Cultural San PER
04.05.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 2-0 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
2-1
AWAY Cusco FC
2.32 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 8
334 Passes 399
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
34 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 24
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San nicked a narrow win over Cusco FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cusco FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cultural San had 46% of the ball to Cusco FC's 54%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.32 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cultural San and 1.67 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Cusco FC?

Cultural San 2-1 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 33%, draw 19%, Cusco FC 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cusco FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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