Chaves 1-0 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.68
Over
48%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.66
2-3
39%
1.72
4-5
23%
3.97
6+
9%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Chaves The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela The Market 38%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.48 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.52
1.37 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.32
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 17.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vizela
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 1.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
227 Passes 391
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Chaves Chaves 1-2 HT 0-2 Vizela Vizela POR2
08.11.2024 Vizela Vizela 0-1 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
15.04.2024 Vizela Vizela 0-1 HT 0-1 Chaves Chaves POR
01.12.2023 Chaves Chaves 2-1 HT 1-1 Vizela Vizela POR
10.02.2023 Vizela Vizela 0-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR
22.11.2022 Vizela Vizela 2-2 HT 1-1 Chaves Chaves PORLC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
1-0
AWAY Vizela
1.75 xG 1.26
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
355 Passes 297
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Chaves vs Vizela
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Chaves edged past Vizela 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chaves found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 57% to 43% in Chaves's favour, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.75 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Chaves against 0.83 for Vizela.

Chaves vs Vizela Result & Final Score

Chaves 1-0 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chaves vs Vizela Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chaves 36%, draw 28%, Vizela 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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