Rubin Kazan 2-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.83
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.84
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.54
X/2
10%
7.18
X/X
11%
4.35
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
20%
5.72
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.25/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.46
-19% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
16.4 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.84 xG 1.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
13.09.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-2 HT 0-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
14.04.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
18.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 2-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
11.12.2021 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
15.08.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
2-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.29 xG 0.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
224 Passes 399
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan saw off Krylya Sovetov 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rubin Kazan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 38% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 62%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.29 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.50 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Krylya Sovetov?

Rubin Kazan 2-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 41%, draw 23%, Krylya Sovetov 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rubin Kazan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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