Akron 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
62%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
6.05
2-3 Goals
34%
2.12
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
5.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
11.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
18.75
1/X
5%
19.55
X/1
6%
14.75
X/2
15%
4.1
X/X
13%
8.06
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
39%
1.63
2/X
4%
17.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.75 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
62%
Away Win
67%
-5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 71%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.17/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.73
+45% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +26%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
17.2 Crosses 20.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.42 xG 3.43
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
160 Passes 581
72% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 81
8 Crosses 54
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Akron Akron RUS
18.10.2024 Akron Akron 0-5 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.10.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-1 HT 3-0 Akron Akron RUK
27.08.2024 Akron Akron 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
1-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.12 xG 1.19
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
231 Passes 509
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Akron vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron and Zenit St. Petersburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zenit St. Petersburg at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Akron had 34% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 66%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.12 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Akron and 3.00 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Akron vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Akron 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Akron 15%, draw 22%, Zenit St. Petersburg 62%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5
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