Bolivar 3-0 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 4 Nov 2025

📅04/11/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.18
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
80%
-3.5pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.9pp
10%
Away Win
8%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -7%
2.07/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.68
+18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
345 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 77%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.7 Crosses 12.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 0.93
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 Passes 184
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2025 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
14.12.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 5-1 HT 3-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
26.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
10.12.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 2-2 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
28.11.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
05.11.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-2 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
3-0
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.95 xG 0.43
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 207
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar cruised past Universitario de Vinto 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Bolivar had 60% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 40%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.95 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bolivar and 1.17 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Universitario de Vinto?

Bolivar 3-0 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 77%, draw 13%, Universitario de Vinto 10%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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