Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aurora v Independiente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals
Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Aurora
BOLİ
2-0
HT 1-0
Independiente Petrolero
BOLİ
Aurora 2-3 Independiente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Petrolero edged past Aurora 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aurora at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Aurora had 44% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 56%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 0.65 to 0.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aurora and 1.33 for Independiente Petrolero.
What was the final score of Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero?
Aurora 2-3 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aurora 60%, draw 19%, Independiente Petrolero 20%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aurora) went the other way.