Libertad vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Libertad
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
Libertad 1-3 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle got the better of Libertad 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Libertad had 48% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 52%, shots finished 13-30, expected goals 1.42 to 3.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Libertad and 1.17 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Independiente Del Valle?
Libertad 1-3 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Libertad 19%, draw 25%, Independiente Del Valle 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.