Bologna vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bologna v Parma — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bologna 2-1 Parma — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna shaded a tight game against Parma 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.74, roughly 57%.
By the numbers, possession split 71% to 29% in Bologna's favour, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.91 to 1.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Bologna against 1.00 for Parma.
Bologna vs Parma Result & Final Score
Bologna 2 - 1 Parma in the Italy - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bologna vs Parma Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bologna 66%, draw 20%, Parma 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.