Lazio vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lazio v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lazio 1-0 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio squeezed past Milan 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 37% — and on the day Lazio made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (60%) landed.
On the day, Milan saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.55 to 0.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Milan.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Lazio against 1.50 for Milan.
Lazio vs Milan Result & Final Score
Lazio 1 - 0 Milan in the Italy - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lazio vs Milan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lazio 30%, draw 33%, Milan 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Milan) went the other way.