Lazio 1-0 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 4 Dec 2025

Lazio
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Milan
📅04/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.42
2-3
48%
1.77
4-5
16%
4.77
6+
3%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.17
1/2
3%
32.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
12%
6.54
X/2
14%
4.95
X/X
22%
3.84
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.35
2/X
5%
13.7
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lazio The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan The Market 45%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
1.28 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
Great Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Great
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 84%
15 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
9 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Milan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
371 Passes 454
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2025 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
02.03.2025 Milan Milan 1-2 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
31.08.2024 Lazio Lazio 2-2 HT 0-1 Milan Milan İTA
01.03.2024 Lazio Lazio 0-1 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
30.09.2023 Milan Milan 2-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
06.05.2023 Milan Milan 2-0 HT 2-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio
1 - 0
AWAY Milan
0.55 xG 0.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
399 Passes 574
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Lazio vs Milan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lazio squeezed past Milan 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 37% — and on the day Lazio made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (60%) landed.

On the day, Milan saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.55 to 0.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Milan.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Lazio against 1.50 for Milan.

Lazio vs Milan Result & Final Score

Lazio 1 - 0 Milan in the Italy - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lazio vs Milan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lazio 30%, draw 33%, Milan 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Milan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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4 Dec 2025
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