LDU Quito 0-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 4 Dec 2025

LDU Quito
0-1 HT 0-0
Emelec
📅04/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Cup – 2025

LDU Quito vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.9
Over
37%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.97
No
59%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
36%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

LDU Quito v Emelec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec The Market 18%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.19/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.22
-51% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

LDU Quito vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Emelec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.59 xG 0.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
336 Passes 227
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.11.2025 Emelec Emelec 1-2 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKVK
04.11.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKVK
13.07.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
17.03.2025 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
03.11.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
12.05.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-2 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1

LDU Quito 0-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
0-1
AWAY Emelec
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
REVIEW LDU Quito vs Emelec
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Emelec found just enough to beat LDU Quito 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (1.49, ~67%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

The match data tells the story: LDU Quito had 68% of the ball to Emelec's 32%, shots finished 21-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Emelec.

LDU Quito vs Emelec Result & Final Score

LDU Quito 0-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

LDU Quito vs Emelec Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 53%, draw 28%, Emelec 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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