East Bengal 3-1 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 4 Dec 2025

East Bengal
3-1
Punjab FC
📅04/12/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super Cup – 2025/2026

East Bengal vs Punjab FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.45
6+ Goals
8%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v Punjab FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +78%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

East Bengal vs Punjab FC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Punjab FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.97 xG 1.49
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 279
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-3 HT 0-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
17.12.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 4-2 HT 0-2 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
10.04.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 4-1 HT 2-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
09.12.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal saw off Punjab FC 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day East Bengal made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, East Bengal had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for East Bengal and 1.75 for Punjab FC.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Punjab FC?

East Bengal 3-1 Punjab FC in the India - Super Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 38%, draw 28%, Punjab FC 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Bengal), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (East Bengal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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