FC Goa 2-1 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+133% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mumbai City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 381
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2025 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
19.10.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 1-2 HT 0-2 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
29.04.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
24.04.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-3 HT 1-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
28.02.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
12.12.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa edged past Mumbai City 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day FC Goa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Goa and 1.50 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Mumbai City?

FC Goa 2-1 Mumbai City in the India - Super Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 40%, draw 29%, Mumbai City 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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