Mumbai City 1-3 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.44/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.44
+18% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.0 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Goa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.10 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 289
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 1-2 HT 0-2 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
29.04.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
24.04.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-3 HT 1-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
28.02.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
12.12.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
11.02.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-5 HT 2-3 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mumbai City
1-3
AWAY FC Goa
1.42 xG 1.35
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
516 Passes 305
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa got the better of Mumbai City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 39% — and on the day FC Goa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Mumbai City had 61% of the ball to FC Goa's 39%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.42 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Mumbai City and 1.17 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs FC Goa?

Mumbai City 1-3 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 35%, draw 25%, FC Goa 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →