FC Goa 1-2 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

FC Goa
1-2 HT 0-2
Mumbai City
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
India - Super League – 2024/2025

FC Goa vs Mumbai City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.47
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.65
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
36%
-9.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.8pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Goa v Mumbai City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.20/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.26
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
16.0 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

FC Goa vs Mumbai City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mumbai City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.18 xG 1.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
280 Passes 327
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
24.04.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-3 HT 1-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
28.02.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
12.12.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
11.02.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-5 HT 2-3 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
01.12.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City nicked a narrow win over FC Goa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Goa and 2.50 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Mumbai City?

FC Goa 1-2 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 26%, draw 33%, Mumbai City 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HİNSL More India - Super League
19 Oct 2024
17:00 East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan Analysis →