East Bengal 0-2 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

East Bengal
0-2 HT 0-1
ATK Mohun Bagan
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
53%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 26% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
27%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
53%
Away Win
47%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v ATK Mohun Bagan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 50%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.06/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.04
+1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
15.2 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
1W-1D-4L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.88 xG 1.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
190 Passes 345
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 1-3 HT 0-3 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
03.02.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
19.01.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 HT 1-0 East Bengal East Bengal HINSK
25.02.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-2 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
29.10.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
29.01.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan saw off East Bengal 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for East Bengal and 2.17 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

East Bengal 0-2 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 22%, draw 25%, ATK Mohun Bagan 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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