Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +25%
1.05/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.06
+1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.4 Crosses 13.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.68 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
298 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.09.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
06.04.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
01.09.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
23.02.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
02.09.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
0-0
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.34 xG 0.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
287 Passes 250
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 10
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga and Deportes Tolima fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 53% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 47%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.34 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.67 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima?

Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 40%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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