Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza CEIF v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe squeezed past Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Santa Fe found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 44% of the ball to Santa Fe's 56%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.32 to 1.75.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 2.00 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe?
Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 36%, draw 28%, Santa Fe 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.