Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cruz Azul 1-1 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul and Tigres UANL couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 68% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 32%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.62 to 1.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.83 for Tigres UANL.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?
Cruz Azul 1-1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 46%, draw 25%, Tigres UANL 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruz Azul) went the other way.