Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 36% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 64%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.11 to 1.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.00 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 44%, draw 27%, Cruz Azul 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS No went the other way.